Katselin mitä arviota asiantuntijat heittävät aiheesta pandemia.
Ira Longini, USA
Professor of biostatistics at the University of Florida and Co-Director of the Center for Statistical and Quantitative Infectious Diseases (CSQUID), the Emerging Pathogens Institute, at the University of Florida.
en.wikipedia.org
Two-thirds of the world’s population could catch it.
As the number of coronavirus cases jumps dramatically in China, a top infectious-disease scientist warns that things could get far worse: Two-thirds of the world’s population could catch it.
www.bloomberg.com
Gabriel Leung, HK
Chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University
en.wikipedia.org
Coronavirus could infect 60% of global population if unchecked.
Exclusive: Public health epidemiologist says other countries should consider adopting China-style containment measures
www.theguardian.com
Nanshan Zhong, China
Medical Professor of Guangzhou Medical College, Former President of Chinese Medical Association.
I hope this outbreak may be over in something like April
The coronavirus outbreak is hitting a peak in China this month and may be over by April, the government's senior medical adviser said on Tuesday, in the latest assessment of an epidemic that has rattled the world.
www.reuters.com
Neil Ferguson, UK
Director, Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College, London
en.wikipedia.org
400 000 kuollutta Briteissä on mahdollinen,
JOS (tauti leviää rajoittamatta JA 60% saa tartunnan JA kuolleisuus on 1%)
Nykytiedon valossa tämä on virus, joka huolestuttaa hänen tutkimistaan viruksista eniten.
A top scientist leading the fight against coronavirus has said he believes hundreds of thousands of people in the UK could die from the disease.
www.lbc.co.uk
Pasi Penttinen, Suomi
Euroopan tartuntatautiviraston (ECDC) epidemiologi
lähipäivien tai mahdollisesti -viikkojen aikana määräytyy, leviääkö epidemia Kiinan ulkopuolelle.
"Toivotaan parasta, mutta on syytä varautua pahimpaan skenaarioon."
Lähipäivät näyttävät, kyetäänkö korona eristämään vain Kiinan vitsaukseksi vai leviääkö tauti ympäri maapalloa.
www.is.fi
Björn Olsen, Ruotsi
Uppsalan yliopiston professori
Koronaviruskuolemien ja -tartuntojen määrä voi nousta rajusti ja äkillisesti.
Professori kertoo, että joidenkin arvioiden mukaan virus saattaa jatkaa leviämistään vuosien ajan.
Laskelmien mukaan uudesta koronaviruksesta saattaisi tällöin kärsiä lopulta jopa 60–80 prosenttia maailman väestöstä.
Kaikki eivät tietysti kuole, vaan suurin osa tulee toipumaan.
Antalet bekräftade coronafall i Hubei ökade dramatiskt i går. I själva verket finns det ännu fler drabbade i den kinesiska provinsen – och antalet kommer fortsä
www.aftonbladet.se
Anthony S. Fauci, USA
Immunologist and the director of the US's National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
It’s very, very transmissible, and it almost certainly is going to be a pandemic. But will it be catastrophic? I don’t know
The coronavirus is "very, very transmissible, and it almost certainly is going to be a pandemic,"
Rapidly rising caseloads alarm researchers, who fear the virus may make its way across the globe. But scientists cannot yet predict how many deaths may result.
www.nytimes.com
Michael Baker, New Zealand
Otago University public health professor
"As it becomes a pandemic - which is looking likely - it's far more dangerous for populations that it's likely to spread very widely [in] ... ultimately it may infect a very high proportion of the world's population because they have very little or no immunity,"
amp.rnz.co.nz
Thomas R. Frieden USA
Former Director of CDC (Tämä on USA:n THL)
Increasingly unlikely that the virus can be contained
Rapidly rising caseloads alarm researchers, who fear the virus may make its way across the globe. But scientists cannot yet predict how many deaths may result.
www.nytimes.com
Robert Redfield , USA
Director, CDC, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Tämä on USA:n THL)
I think this virus is probably with us beyond this season, beyond this year, and I think eventually the virus will find a foothold and we'll get community based transmission and you can start to think about it like seasonal flu. The only difference is we don't understand this virus
As an outbreak of a novel coronavirus has swept through Hubei province, China, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has been preparing for its worst case scenario -- a widespread outbreak of illnesses in the United States.
edition.cnn.com
Marc Lipsitch, USA
Prof. of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Head, Harvard Ctr. Communicable Disease Dynamics
I think we should be prepared for the equivalent of a very, very bad flu season, or maybe the worst-ever flu season in modern times.
Harvard’s Marc Lipsitch said evidence indicates that the international cordon keeping coronavirus cases bottled up in China is a leaky one, and it’s likely that the relative handful of global cases reported so far are undercounted. If true, that will lead to widespread illness internationally...
news.harvard.edu
Lisää löytyy täältä:
List of opinions, forecasts and observations on the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak originating from Wuhan, China
www.worldometers.info
julkaisut.valtioneuvosto.fi
focustaiwan.tw
www.biorxiv.org
www.hs.fi
www.nature.com
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
www.mtvuutiset.fi
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
thethaiger.com
